Weather forecast for summer 2024
Spain is among the countries most affected by climate change in Europe, experiencing a notable increase in temperatures, especially during summer, which is the season most impacted by global warming.
The increase in heat waves, fires and tropical nights are becoming more frequent and this year does not seem to be the exception. The weather forecast for the summer of 2024 indicates that we will face a particularly hot summer in almost the entire Spanish territory, with temperatures higher than the average thresholds typical for this time.
This situation could bring with it a greater number of heat waves. In 2023, Spain has already experienced frequent episodes of high temperatures, with four heat waves in the Iberian Peninsula and the Balearic Islands, and three in the Canary Islands. This summer could follow a similar pattern.
Very hot summer in Spain
During the months of June, July and August, the heat is expected to be intense throughout the interior of the peninsula. Seasonal forecasts suggest temperatures could be up to 2ºC above normal in these areas. Although in the rest of the country the anomalies will be smaller, they will also be above average.
As seen on the map, a hotter than usual summer is anticipated throughout Spain, with the interior of the peninsula being the area most affected by extreme temperatures.
A summer with rain?
Regarding rainfall, it is expected that this summer of 2024 the rains will be normal throughout the country, except in the Canary Islands, where they will be slightly above average.
Given that summer is the driest season of the year and that accumulated precipitation does not exceed 73 mm on average, drought could worsen in Spain during this season.
What is normal in summer in Spain
In Spain, the average maximum temperatures are usually around 28-29ºC and the minimum temperatures around 16ºC, although there are large differences between the various geographical areas. In many areas of the south and the Mediterranean coast, tropical nights, with minimum temperatures above 20ºC, are common. The average rainfall is about 73 millimeters, with occasional stormy showers, especially in mountainous areas.
Summer 2023 was the warmest
The summer of 2023 was the third warmest in Spain, surpassed only by those of 2022 and 2003. During this period, four heat waves were recorded, accumulating a total of 24 days in this situation, with temperatures that exceeded 45ºC in some areas. from Valencia and Andalusia in August.
In total, there were 24 days of heat wave in the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands, being the fourth summer with the most days in this situation since 2022, 2015 and 2017. Spain recorded 552 temperature records in June, July and August 2023. Although it was The third wettest summer of the 21st century, Spain continued in a long-lasting meteorological drought.
Summer 2024 in Europe: what awaits us?
Copernicus predictions indicate that the summer will be especially hot in southern Europe, as well as in northern Africa and eastern Europe, and could be one of the warmest summers on record in Spain, according to the AEMET.
